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Poisson distribution is a method that works best for calculating statistics in sports where scoring is rare and happens in ๐ŸŠ increments of one. This is why it is most widely used in association football, and occasionally in hockey, but not ๐ŸŠ really utilised elsewhere โ€“ at least, not successfully.

Thatโ€™s why, in this article, weโ€™re going to focus on the former in ๐ŸŠ particular, and why much of what weโ€™ll write will be applicable to football alone. With that said, letโ€™s beginโ€ฆ

What Is ๐ŸŠ Poisson Distribution?

Poisson distribution is a method of calculating the most likely score in a sporting event such as football. Used ๐ŸŠ by many experienced gamblers to help shape their strategies, it relies on the calculation of attack and defence strength to ๐ŸŠ reach a final figure.

A mathematical concept, Poisson distribution works by converting mean averages into a probability. If we say, for ๐ŸŠ example, that the football club weโ€™re looking at scores an average of 1.7 goals in each of their games, the ๐ŸŠ formula would give us the following probabilities:

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