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Poisson distribution is a method that works best for calculating statistics in sports where scoring is rare and happens in ๐ increments of one. This is why it is most widely used in association football, and occasionally in hockey, but not ๐ really utilised elsewhere โ at least, not successfully. Thatโs why, in this article, weโre going to focus on the former in ๐ particular, and why much of what weโll write will be applicable to football alone. With that said, letโs beginโฆ What Is ๐ Poisson Distribution? Poisson distribution is a method of calculating the most likely score in a sporting event such as football. Used ๐ by many experienced gamblers to help shape their strategies, it relies on the calculation of attack and defence strength to ๐ reach a final figure. A mathematical concept, Poisson distribution works by converting mean averages into a probability. If we say, for ๐ example, that the football club weโre looking at scores an average of 1.7 goals in each of their games, the ๐ formula would give us the following probabilities: |